Bucaramangavs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaramanga 2-2 Independiente Medellin
Original prediction
Bucaramanga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.0% | 43.9% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 29.4% | 27.7% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 27.6% | 28.5% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00