Bucaramangavs
Águilas Doradas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bucaramanga 1-0 Águilas Doradas, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaramanga 1-1 Águilas Doradas
Original prediction
Bucaramanga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 46.8% | 46.3% | -0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.6% | 28.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.6% | 25.2% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Bucaramanga 1–0 Águilas Doradas
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40