Bucaramangavs
America de Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/18/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bucaramanga 0-0 America de Cali, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bucaramanga 1-1 America de Cali
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 34.9% | 34.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.3% | 29.9% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.7% | 35.4% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Projected Score
Bucaramanga 0–0 America de Cali
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BucaramangaDWWWD
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
America de CaliLWWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaAmerica de Cali
50.5Attack50.0
66.7Defence71.6
50.5Form59.8
56.2Power60.5
0.91xG0.93