GGOALVIO

England · League One · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Peterborough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bromley 1-1 Peterborough

Original prediction

Peterborough

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1529.5%32.4%2.9 pts
Draw3.8624.1%27.3%3.3 pts
Away2.0046.4%40.3%-6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.0–010%

Predicted outcome

Peterborough

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Peterborough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BromleyLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
PeterboroughLDWWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
BromleyPeterborough
30.0Attack30.3
16.7Defence39.4
26.7Form27.3
27.9Power35.0
1.15xG1.31
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