GGOALVIO

England · Professional Development League · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bolton Wanderers Res. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Bolton Wanderers Res. 2-6 Huddersfield Town U21

Original prediction

Bolton Wanderers Res.

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0544.3%51.7%7.4 pts
Draw4.0822.3%22.9%0.6 pts
Away2.7133.5%25.4%-8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.3–19%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.4–18%

Predicted outcome

Bolton Wanderers Res.

Probability

51.7%

Model confidence

51.7%

Bolton Wanderers Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bolton Wanderers Res.WDLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Huddersfield Town U21WWLLD

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Bolton Wanderers Res.Huddersfield Town U21
91.7Attack86.7
75.0Defence40.0
87.5Form60.0
82.0Power61.8
3.43xG1.34
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