Colchester United U21vs
Queens Park Rangers U21
SCHEDULEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colchester United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.0% | 40.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 24.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.5% | 35.0% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–36%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Colchester United U21
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Colchester United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Colchester United U21LLWLL
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Queens Park Rangers U21WDLLL
GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Colchester United U21Queens Park Rangers U21
66.7Attack59.3
0.0Defence14.8
28.6Form29.6
32.0Power36.2
3.45xG2.72