Cardiff City U21vs
Coventry City U21
SCHEDULEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cardiff City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.4% | 45.2% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 21.8% | 24.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.15 | 28.9% | 30.4% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Cardiff City U21
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Cardiff City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Cardiff City U21WDLWD
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Coventry City U21WWWWD
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cardiff City U21Coventry City U21
85.7Attack81.0
57.1Defence47.6
57.1Form61.9
64.1Power63.1
2.73xG1.95