Bath Cityvs
Havant & Wville
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bath City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bath City 1-0 Havant & Wville, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bath City 1-0 Havant & Wville
Original prediction
Bath City
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.3% | 61.0% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.7% | 23.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 18.9% | 15.6% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Bath City 1–0 Havant & Wville
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Bath City
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60