Bath Cityvs
Gosport Borough
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bath City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bath City 0-0 Gosport Borough, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bath City 1-2 Gosport Borough
Original prediction
Bath City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.0% | 42.9% | -15.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.8% | 29.3% | 6.5 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.2% | 27.7% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.0 pts
Projected Score
Bath City 0–0 Gosport Borough
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Bath City
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Bath City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40