GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Evesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Basingstoke Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Evesham United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Evesham United hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (21.5 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Evesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Evesham United

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

10.0%

Evesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Basingstoke TownLWLWW

GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Evesham UnitedDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Basingstoke TownEvesham United
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form50.0
21.5Power40.7
1.74xG1.84
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