Atletico Nacionalvs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/27/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Nacional 1-0 Deportivo Cali, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Nacional 2-1 Deportivo Cali
Original prediction
Atletico Nacional
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 60.6% | 56.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 24.0% | 27.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.03 | 15.4% | 16.5% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.2 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Nacional 1–0 Deportivo Cali
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Nacional
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Atletico Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60