Aston Villa U19vs
Fenerbahce U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aston Villa U19 2-1 Fenerbahce U19
Original prediction
Aston Villa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.38 | 65.6% | 47.9% | -17.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.79 | 18.8% | 23.9% | 5.1 pts |
| Away | 5.78 | 15.6% | 28.2% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.38 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa U19
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Aston Villa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80