Aserri FCvs
Quepos Cambute
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quepos Cambute · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aserri FC 0-0 Quepos Cambute, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aserri FC 1-0 Quepos Cambute
Original prediction
Quepos Cambute
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.93 | 30.5% | 28.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 29.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.08 | 43.2% | 41.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Projected Score
Aserri FC 0–0 Quepos Cambute
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Quepos Cambute
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60