GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Aserri FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and municipal Grecia hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring Aserri FC with 10.1% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

10.1%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aserri FCLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Aserri FCMunicipal Grecia
0.0Attack58.3
66.7Defence28.1
0.0Form42.7
26.7Power44.0
1.96xG1.59
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