Aserri FCvs
Cariari Pococi
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cariari Pococi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aserri FC 1-1 Cariari Pococi
Original prediction
Cariari Pococi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 34.9% | 34.0% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 28.7% | 28.8% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.5% | 37.1% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Cariari Pococi
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Cariari Pococi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00