Aserri FCvs
Cariari Pococi
SCHEDULEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aserri FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring a draw with 13.8% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.8%
Model confidence
13.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20