Aserri FCvsAD Carmelita

Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.