America de Calivs
Junior
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/26/2026, 11:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America de Cali 1-0 Junior, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 4-2 Junior
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 54.9% | 51.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.7% | 27.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 19.5% | 20.6% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Projected Score
America de Cali 1–0 Junior
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80