America de Calivs
Independiente Medellin
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/12/2026, 1:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 1-2 Independiente Medellin
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.2% | 46.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.9% | 28.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.9% | 24.6% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Projected Score
America de Cali 1–0 Independiente Medellin
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60