America de Calivs
Deportivo Pasto
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pasto, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 0-1 Deportivo Pasto
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 66.6% | 67.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.18 | 22.1% | 21.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 8.20 | 11.3% | 11.6% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Projected Score
America de Cali 1–0 Deportivo Pasto
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00