Alianza Valleduparvs
Junior
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/13/2026, 1:20:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Junior, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Junior
Original prediction
Junior
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.09 | 30.0% | 18.6% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.5% | 24.7% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 41.5% | 56.7% | 15.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.2 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Junior
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Alianza ValleduparLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
JuniorDDLDL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Alianza ValleduparJunior
23.1Attack49.5
46.2Defence57.0
24.4Form50.5
34.0Power53.6
0.63xG1.55