Alianza Valleduparvs
Internacional de Bogota
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/25/2026, 9:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Internacional de Bogota · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota
Original prediction
Internacional de Bogota
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.3% | 32.6% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.17 | 29.2% | 29.1% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.5% | 38.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Internacional de Bogota
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Internacional de Bogota has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00