Alianza Valleduparvs
Águilas Doradas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Águilas Doradas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alianza Valledupar 0-0 Águilas Doradas, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alianza Valledupar 2-2 Águilas Doradas
Original prediction
Águilas Doradas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.5% | 30.7% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.8% | 30.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.7% | 38.6% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.9 pts
Projected Score
Alianza Valledupar 0–0 Águilas Doradas
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Águilas Doradas
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Águilas Doradas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40