ADR Jicaralvs
Quepos Cambute
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADR Jicaral · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADR Jicaral 2-0 Quepos Cambute
Original prediction
ADR Jicaral
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.3% | 42.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.0% | 28.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.7% | 29.6% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
ADR Jicaral
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80