ADR Jicaralvs
Aserri FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADR Jicaral · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ADR Jicaral 1-1 Aserri FC
Original prediction
ADR Jicaral
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 70.1% | 51.1% | -19.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.4% | 25.8% | 6.4 pts |
| Away | 8.51 | 10.5% | 23.2% | 12.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
ADR Jicaral
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00