ADR Jicaralvs
AD Cofutpa
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADR Jicaral · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ADR Jicaral 2-0 AD Cofutpa, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
ADR Jicaral 3-1 AD Cofutpa
Original prediction
ADR Jicaral
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.8% | 62.7% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.71 | 15.8% | 21.7% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 10.60 | 8.5% | 15.6% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Projected Score
ADR Jicaral 2–0 AD Cofutpa
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
ADR Jicaral
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ADR JicaralWDDWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AD CofutpaWLLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ADR JicaralAD Cofutpa
50.0Attack29.2
83.3Defence41.7
75.0Form16.7
71.3Power31.6
2.06xG0.52