GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/23/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and aD Sarchí hold a 23.0-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring AD Sarchí with 12.4% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

12.4%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Quepos CambuteLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíQuepos Cambute
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
80.3Power57.3
1.67xG1.28
View match centre →