AD Sarchívs
Municipal Grecia
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/18/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Grecia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AD Sarchí 0-0 Municipal Grecia, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
AD Sarchí 2-0 Municipal Grecia
Original prediction
Municipal Grecia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 42.3% | 27.8% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 27.7% | 28.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.0% | 43.8% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.7 pts
Projected Score
AD Sarchí 0–0 Municipal Grecia
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Grecia
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80