GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

60.5%

Model confidence

60.5%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíMunicipal Grecia
66.7Attack58.3
66.7Defence28.1
100.0Form42.7
80.3Power44.0
2.65xG1.37
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