AD Sarchívs
ADR Jicaral
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADR Jicaral · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AD Sarchí 0-1 ADR Jicaral
Original prediction
ADR Jicaral
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 26.9% | 26.9% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.0% | 28.0% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 46.1% | 45.1% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.93 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
ADR Jicaral
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60