AD Cofutpavs
Santa Cruz FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/27/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Cruz FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AD Cofutpa 3-1 Santa Cruz FC
Original prediction
Santa Cruz FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 36.9% | 34.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.4% | 27.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 35.8% | 38.8% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Santa Cruz FC
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Santa Cruz FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00