GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/20/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: AD Cofutpa 0-1 Quepos Cambute, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

AD Cofutpa 1-0 Quepos Cambute

Original prediction

Quepos Cambute

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.0422.1%13.0%-9.1 pts
Draw3.3726.5%21.3%-5.2 pts
Away1.7451.4%65.8%14.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

14.4 pts

Projected Score

AD Cofutpa 0–1 Quepos Cambute

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

65.8%

Model confidence

65.8%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaLWLLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Quepos CambuteWLWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AD CofutpaQuepos Cambute
29.6Attack50.0
37.0Defence73.3
14.8Form63.3
29.9Power62.4
0.51xG1.88
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