AD Cofutpavs
Municipal Grecia
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Grecia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AD Cofutpa 0-0 Municipal Grecia
Original prediction
Municipal Grecia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.27 | 21.0% | 26.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 23.8% | 26.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.2% | 46.8% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Grecia
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00