GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

AD Cofutpa are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Municipal Grecia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring a draw with 8.9% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

23.2%

Model confidence

8.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CofutpaLLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal GreciaWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD CofutpaMunicipal Grecia
33.3Attack58.3
33.3Defence28.1
0.0Form42.7
23.7Power44.0
2.07xG1.77
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