GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AD Carmelita are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Santa Ana are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

38.6%

Model confidence

12.8%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDDDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaWWLWL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaSanta Ana
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.40xG1.50
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