AD Carmelitavs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
SCHEDULEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AD Carmelita are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Liga de Ascenso, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
14.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00