GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guadalupe FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Guadalupe FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guadalupe FC hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Guadalupe FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guadalupe FC

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Guadalupe FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaDLDDD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Guadalupe FCLDWLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AD CarmelitaGuadalupe FC
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form66.7
45.3Power64.8
1.53xG1.59
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