GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AD Carmelita are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Futbol Consultants Moravia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD CarmelitaLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AD CarmelitaFutbol Consultants Moravia
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.82xG1.26
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