AD CarmelitavsCS Uruguay

AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CS Uruguay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.