Achilles Veenvs
Poortugaal
COMPLETEDNetherlands · KNVB Beker · 9/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Achilles Veen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Achilles Veen 4-2 Poortugaal
Original prediction
Achilles Veen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 51.0% | 41.5% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.1% | 27.2% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.8% | 31.3% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Achilles Veen
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Achilles Veen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00