Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Yverdon W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basel W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Basel W hold a 79.5-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while Basel W holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60