Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Basel W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yverdon W 3-2 Basel W
Original prediction
Basel W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Basel W
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Basel W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yverdon WDWLDL
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Basel WDDDWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Yverdon WBasel W
47.6Attack47.6
38.1Defence66.7
23.8Form57.1
37.6Power59.6
1.18xG1.74