Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzern W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–011%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Luzern W
Probability
77.5%
Model confidence
77.5%
Luzern W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Luzern WLDDWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Aarau WLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Luzern WAarau W
54.2Attack29.2
54.2Defence0.0
45.8Form4.2
53.0Power14.3
3.17xG0.80