Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yverdon W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yverdon W 4-1 Aarau W
Original prediction
Yverdon W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Yverdon W
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Yverdon W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Yverdon WLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aarau WDLLLL
GF 3 · GA 19 · avg 0.60/3.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Yverdon WAarau W
20.0Attack20.0
40.0Defence0.0
6.7Form6.7
25.7Power12.1
1.91xG1.24