Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wrexham 0-0 West Brom, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wrexham 1-2 West Brom
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.5% | 33.6% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 28.8% | 30.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 30.8% | 35.6% | 4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Wrexham 0–0 West Brom
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WrexhamDWLDD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
West BromLLDWW
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
WrexhamWest Brom
37.0Attack37.0
51.9Defence66.7
40.7Form51.9
44.0Power54.3
0.82xG1.03