Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Norwich
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Norwich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NorwichLLLWW
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
WatfordLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NorwichWatford
66.7Attack29.2
29.2Defence58.3
37.5Form33.3
45.3Power43.2
1.74xG1.18