Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wrexham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wrexham 1-1 Watford
Original prediction
Wrexham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Wrexham
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WrexhamDLWDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WatfordWWLWD
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WrexhamWatford
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.20xG1.37