GGOALVIO

England · Championship · 8/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wrexham · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Wrexham are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Birmingham are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Wrexham hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Championship, while Wrexham holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wrexham

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

13.3%

Wrexham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

WrexhamLWDDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BirminghamWDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
WrexhamBirmingham
50.0Attack36.2
52.9Defence52.9
51.4Form36.2
53.6Power44.0
1.56xG0.91
View match centre →