Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wolves 1-0 West Brom
Original prediction
Wolves
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 50.8% | 43.7% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 26.3% | 25.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.9% | 31.1% | 8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WolvesLWDLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
West BromDWWDL
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
WolvesWest Brom
77.8Attack47.6
44.4Defence66.7
61.1Form66.7
61.8Power62.9
1.57xG1.36