Wolvesvs
Portsmouth
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wolves 1-1 Portsmouth
Original prediction
Wolves
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 59.4% | 53.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 23.0% | 22.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 5.33 | 17.6% | 24.2% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Wolves
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WolvesWLLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PortsmouthWWLDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WolvesPortsmouth
60.0Attack43.3
50.0Defence56.7
56.7Form46.7
57.1Power50.8
1.70xG1.16