Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham 6-0 Wrexham
Original prediction
West Ham
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 59.7% | 47.3% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.7% | 26.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.6% | 26.4% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
West Ham
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
West HamWWWDW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WrexhamDDWLD
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
West HamWrexham
77.8Attack38.9
50.0Defence72.2
61.1Form38.9
63.7Power50.8
1.56xG1.08