West Hamvs
Southampton
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Ham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Ham 2-3 Southampton
Original prediction
West Ham
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 56.4% | 44.4% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.5% | 26.1% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 21.1% | 29.5% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
West Ham
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
West Ham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60