Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Brom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: West Brom 0-0 QPR, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
West Brom 1-1 QPR
Original prediction
West Brom
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 45.5% | 40.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.5% | 29.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 27.0% | 30.2% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Projected Score
West Brom 0–0 QPR
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
West Brom
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
West Brom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
West BromWWDLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
QPRDLWWD
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
West BromQPR
50.0Attack38.9
66.7Defence77.8
72.2Form61.1
65.5Power61.7
1.10xG0.88