Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Brom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
West Brom 3-2 Blackburn
Original prediction
West Brom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.3% | 44.0% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.9% | 27.6% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.92 | 23.9% | 28.4% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
West Brom
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
West Brom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
West BromWLLDW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BlackburnWWDWL
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
West BromBlackburn
40.0Attack50.0
66.7Defence56.7
56.7Form50.0
57.0Power54.7
1.12xG0.90